UK Inflation

Reviewed by Ed WilkinsonLast updated: August 27, 2025 11:46 am

Image credit: Krzysztof Hepner @Unsplash

UK inflation has been on a rollercoaster ride in recent years, reaching a 41-year high of 11.1% in October 2022. Since then, it has gradually subsided, and has fallen to 4.6% as of 15th November 2023. The Bank of England expects inflation to fall to around 2% by the end of 2025.

Here is a table of UK inflation forecasts for 2022-2026:

Please note that these are just forecasts and the actual inflation rate could be higher or lower. There are a number of factors that could affect inflation in the coming years, including the war in Ukraine, the global supply chain crisis, and the Bank of England’s monetary policy.

Here are some of the key factors that are likely to affect inflation in the UK in the coming years:

• The war in Ukraine: The war in Ukraine has caused energy prices to rise sharply, which is likely to put upward pressure on inflation.
• The global supply chain crisis: The global supply chain crisis has made it more difficult and expensive to get goods from factories to consumers. This is likely to lead to higher prices for some goods.
• The Bank of England’s monetary policy: The Bank of England is responsible for setting interest rates in the UK. If the Bank of England raises interest rates, this could help to cool the economy and bring inflation down. However, raising interest rates could also make it more difficult for businesses and consumers to borrow money, which could lead to a recession.

Overall, the outlook for inflation in the UK is uncertain. However, the Bank of England expects inflation to fall back to its 2% target by the end of 2025.

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